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Composite Index Weekly Technical Analysis, 11/11/2005
For the week ended on the 11th of November 2005, KLCI losing a total of 15.57
points, closing below the 900 psychological level at 898.35 points.
Main Chart:
As shown on the Chart above, KLCI breached below the T2 support line as well
as the 900 psychological support level. Therefore, T2 as well as the 900 level
will be the immediate resistance for KLCI. Mean while, immediate support for
KLCI falls on the 894 Fibonacci retracement line. (Study A)
Bollinger Bands:
10 days Bollinger band width expanded 21% after the 16% opening on the
Thursday. Mean while, KLCI is situated below the middle band which suggests a
bearish bias outlook for KLCI.
Volume:
Total market volume for the week stood at 13.52 million lots. On the daily
chart, total market volume for the entire week stood below the 40 days VMA
level, suggesting a very low market participation.(Study B)
MACD:
In line with the KLCI direction, the MACD line continue pointing lower. MACD
triggered the buy signal in the early part of the week with the contraction of
the Bollinger band width. Therefore, the significant of the signal was reduced.
(Study C)
WinChart RSI:
Ever since the WinChart RSI entered the mid-term bearish zone on the 20th of
October, the WinChart RSI has been staying below the 30% level. As a result,
mid-term market sentiment for KLCI will remains bearish. (Study D)
Stochastic:
%D of the Stochastic entered the short-term bearish zone on Friday,
confirming the %K signal on Thursday. As long as we see both lines of the
Stochastic staying below the 30% level, short-term market sentiment will remains
bearish. (Study E)
In the Nut Shell:
KLCI broke below the 900 points psychological level, and it is crucial for
KLCI to return above the 900 level in the short-term; or else, the KLCI will
confirm a break down of a descending triangle and market outlook is expected to
be bearish. With indicators showing bearish signal, outlook for KLCI is likely
to remain bearish.
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